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Observational Bias and the Clustering of Distant Eccentric Kuiper Belt Objects

机译:观测偏差和遥远的柯伊伯带天体的聚类

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摘要

The hypothesis that a massive Planet Nine exists in the outer solar system on a distant eccentric orbit was inspired by observations showing that the objects with the most distant eccentric orbits in the Kuiper Belt have orbits that are physically aligned, that is, they are clustered in longitude of perihelion and have similar orbital planes. Questions have remained, however, about the effects of observational bias on these observations, particularly on the longitudes of perihelion. Specifically, distant eccentric Kuiper Belt objects (KBOs) tend to be faint and only observable near their perihelia, suggesting that the longitudes of perihelion of the known distant objects could be strongly biased by the limited number of locations in the sky where deep surveys have been carried out. We have developed a method to rigorously estimate the bias in longitude of perihelion for Kuiper Belt observations. We find that the probability that the 10 known KBOs with semimajor axis beyond 230 au are drawn from a population with uniform longitude of perihelion is 1.2%. Combined with the observation that the orbital poles of these objects are also clustered, the overall probability of detecting these two independent clusterings in a randomly distributed sample is 0.025%. While observational bias is clearly present in these observations, it is unlikely to explain the observed alignment of the distant eccentric KBOs.
机译:遥远的偏心轨道上的太阳系外部存在一个庞大的第九行星这一假设是受观察结果启发的,该观察结果表明,柯伊伯带中最遥远的偏心轨道的物体的轨道是物理对齐的,也就是说,它们聚集在近日点的经度并具有相似的轨道平面。然而,关于观测偏差对这些观测的影响,尤其是对近日点的经度的影响,仍然存在疑问。具体而言,遥远的偏心柯伊伯带天体(KBO)趋于微弱,只有在其近日点附近才可观察到,这表明已知远方天体的近日点经度可能会因深空勘测的天空中有限的位置而严重偏向执行。我们已经开发出一种方法,可以精确地估计柯伊伯带观测的近日点经度的偏差。我们发现,半长轴超过230 au的10个已知KBO的概率是从具有一致的近日点经度的人口中得出的概率为1.2%。结合观察到的这些物体的轨道极点也是聚类的,在随机分布的样本中检测到这两个独立聚类的总概率为0.025%。尽管这些观察结果中明显存在观察偏差,但不可能解释所观察到的偏心KBO的对准。

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    Brown, Michael E.;

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